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Predicting Future Performance with Sales Forecasting

By Citrin Cooperman's Digital Services Practice .

July 22, 2024 - Many business owners wish they could predict the future and know how their business will grow in the coming months or years. Today, there are tools and processes to do just that. These resources can accurately plan and forecast future revenue and growth.

A precise sales forecast is essential for fostering organizational growth and anticipating future business needs. It guides sales strategies and product launches, influencing every aspect of the business — from hiring to budgeting. Consequently, it affects various departments, including sales, marketing, HR, and finance.

Why is sales forecasting important?

Forecasts are about the future, and their importance cannot be overstated. Sales forecasting benefits every part of an organization. Finance teams use forecasts to create budgets for capacity planning and hiring, while production teams rely on them to plan their cycles. Forecasts assist sales operations in territory and quota planning, guide the supply chain in material purchases and production capacity, and shape sales strategy regarding channels and partners.

Different types of sales forecasts align with various go-to-market strategies, including:

  • Opportunity forecasting
  • Retail sales forecasting
  • E-commerce sales forecasting
  • Services forecasting
  • Consumption-based forecasting
  • Run-rate forecasting

These are just a few examples. Unfortunately, many companies keep these methodologies siloed, leading to adverse outcomes. For instance, if sales forecast data is not shared, product marketing might create demand plans that do not align with sales quotas or attainment levels, resulting in excess or insufficient inventory and inaccurate sales targets. Regular, high-quality sales forecasting helps avoid these costly mistakes.

Benefits of sales forecasting

If a business is not using sales forecasting, it is missing a valuable opportunity to increase revenue and drive growth. Here are some key benefits of sales forecasting:

  1. Improved decision-making

    Sales forecasting enables organizations to make informed decisions about critical aspects of the business, such as recruitment, marketing campaigns, and inventory management. Take, for example, someone who operates a clothing company — sales forecasting can help them identify the most popular styles and designs, allowing them to decide which products to stock up on.
  2. Enhanced accuracy

    Technology enhances the accuracy of sales forecasting by leveraging AI algorithms to analyze complex data sets and predict sales outcomes with greater precision than traditional methods. When companies rely on tools like spreadsheets for forecasting, they often encounter accuracy issues, leading to a lack of trust in the forecasts. AI-driven solutions mitigate these challenges by providing more reliable and detailed insights, improving overall forecasting accuracy and confidence in the results.
  3. Increased visibility on quota-setting and territory planning

    Maximizing sales operations begins with setting quotas and planning territories for the sales team. The first step is determining the best assignments and realistic expectations for each team member. An accurate sales forecast provides valuable insights, helping to identify which territories require the top sales associates’ focus and segmenting them effectively to achieve sales targets.

How to accurately forecast sales

To know where the business is going, it must look at where it has been and adjust from there. Here is a guide to creating a forecasting roadmap:

  • Assess historical trends: Analyze sales from the previous year by breaking down the numbers by price, product, representative, sales period, and other relevant variables. Use this data to establish a “sales run rate,” which represents the projected sales per period. This run rate serves as a foundation for the sales forecast.
  • Incorporate better resource management tools: Sales forecasting helps to accurately predict future demand, allowing leadership to allocate resources like labor, finances, and materials efficiently. This can only be done by employing the right tools and solutions to get the job done. Manual spreadsheets and sticky notes simply will not work to prevent overstocking, budget your payroll headcount, or ensure accurate market pricing.
  • Add automation to the mix: Technology software provides comprehensive planning platforms that integrates people, processes, and systems with pre-built solutions to automate time-consuming tasks. Its specific capabilities include financial planning and analysis (FP&A), reporting, compliance, and financial close. These tools are perfect for companies that need a structured process and planning controls of the platform’s pre-built FP&A processes.

Elevate strategic sales forecasting with Vena and Citrin Cooperman

Accurately predicting future performance through the right sales strategy and forecasting can transform your business, leading to improved resource allocation, enhanced growth, and increased revenue. By leveraging advanced forecasting techniques and tools like Vena, a business can make informed decisions that drive success across all departments.

Ready to take your sales forecasting to the next level? Citrin Cooperman’s Digital Services Practice provides specialized guidance and tailored solutions designed to support your journey towards greater profitability and operational excellence.

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